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Analysts: GTA IV already on track as Game of 2008
Leo Chan - Tuesday, April 29th, 2008 | 11:34AM (PT)


Well, it's certainly going to sell like crazy during its first month

The hype around Grand Theft Auto IV for the Xbox 360 and PlayStation 3 is not diminishing even with the official launch of the game earlier today at midnight.  It doesn't take a market analyst to know that the game will leave its mark in the annals of 2008's gaming history, but said analysts might be able to provide a better estimate over just how big that mark could get.

For example, Wedbush Morgan Securities analyst Michael Pachter explains to GameSpot that Take-Two stands to sell at least 4 million copies of the game (for both console platforms) during its first week alone, growing to 6 million by its fourth week in the market.  While Pachter believes the Xbox 360 edition of GTA IV will outsell the PS3 release by a "three-to-two" ratio, sales between the two versions should be more evenly split come December.

By the end of December 2008, Pachter predicts sales for GTA IV could well hit 11 to 13 million units.  After its first year, sales should slow somewhat, making for an overall "lifetime" sales number of 16 to 19 million units.  This will actually be a little lower than the 21.5 million unit lifetime-to-date sales garnered by GTA: San Andreas.  Time will tell, naturally!

Take-Two itself is confident GTA IV sales will beat all these expectations, and then some.  The publisher appears to be betting on first week sales figures of $400 million USD, or about 6 million copies of GTA IV sold.  This is already being compared to Halo 3's stellar launch week revenue of around $300 million USD through selling 5 million units.


Analysts: GTA IV already on track as Game of 2008 Image 1
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Comments:

April 29th, 2008 11:46AM(PT)
Frank
GTA IV selling lower than San Andreas? I'd agree somewhat especially considering how many people have a Playstation 2 compared to the 360 or PS3.
April 29th, 2008 12:45PM(PT)
bruceleethree
If we're talking about absolute life time. I predict a slimmer PS3 and an enticing price incentive to go with it. And eventually GTA4 will sell 25 million.

It's downfall now is last gen is still selling, an economy close to recession, growing food prices and rice strains, insane gas prices and console prices too high.
April 30th, 2008 3:14AM(PT)
THM
Well, the price of PS3game is real factor. If they can sell GTAIV at Aussie $50 per game, they will achieve the highest selling record within one week!!!! I bet!!!

Note: In Australia, we have to pay $120 for new release PS3 games. That's totally shit and rip-off price.
April 30th, 2008 2:41PM(PT)
OmegaFury
THM. WHY. DON'T. YOU. PROTEST. AND. DO. SOMETHING. ABOUT. IT? You guys have a democracy, right?
May 1st, 2008 4:10AM(PT)
blackmonday34
holly shit i can't bel the price in australia for new games dame thats two times as much in the U.S. *bleep* i bet that sucks if i had two buy games in australia i wood *bleep*ing leve that part of the world i'm glad i'M leveing in the U.S.A.
May 1st, 2008 4:12AM(PT)
blackmonday34
SORRY I DON'T HAVE NOTHING AGINST AUSTRALIA

ITS JUST THE PRICE OF THE GAMES
May 1st, 2008 7:41AM(PT)
Great Mate
In the same way that say; a new Tekken or Final Fantasy game is guaranteed to sell fast, so will this. But this game looks like THE definitive title on both PS3 and the 360.

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